Predictive Market Intelligence

Over 95 of 100 buildings on our list modernize.
Validated on 7 years of NYC permit data.

Elevator modernization in NYC never stops — buildings age, equipment fails, owners upgrade. FirstMover tracks all 260,000 NYC elevator buildings and tells you which ones are 12–24 months from filing a modernization permit — before they've engaged anyone. The firms that know first act first.

>95
buildings out of 100 on our top borough lists actually modernized
Validated over multiple years
41%
of all NYC high-value modernizations originated from our top 500 buildings
Independently validated
0.8%
shuffle-test performance — confirming real signal, zero data leakage
Signal Integrity Check

Results measured on held-out NYC validation data, independent of the scoring system. >95 of 100 buildings on our per-borough lists modernized within the forecast window.

Method

Three steps.
No noise.

01 / Pipeline

Proprietary data pipeline

Dozens of NYC municipal and public data streams merged weekly into a single predictive system.

02 / Ranking

Predictive ranking

260,251 buildings scored weekly by modernization likelihood. Delivered as Horizon, Priority, or Overdue — ranked by proximity to permit filing.

03 / Delivery

Weekly intelligence drop

Top 100 ranked buildings per borough, every Monday. Direct DOB profile links included per building.

The Brief

Intelligence,
delivered every week.

Everything needed to know which NYC buildings are approaching modernization — before they've engaged anyone.

Horizon List 24-month horizon
Priority List 12-month horizon
Overdue List traction elevator compliance candidates
Boroughs Manhattan · Brooklyn · Queens · Bronx
Direct DOB profile links per building

The Math

One NYC elevator modernization generates $100,000 – $500,000+ in contract value. Elevator modernization in NYC is constant — buildings age, equipment fails, owners upgrade. The cycle never stops. When Over 95 of 100 buildings on our list are real opportunities — validated on 7 years of permit data — the question is not whether FirstMover pays for itself.

The question is whether you know before anyone else does.

How we know it works

Validated on independent data

The >95/100 accuracy is measured on permit outcomes from years held entirely outside the validation window — not a backfit, not a cherry-pick.

Shuffle test confirms real signal

Randomly shuffle the building labels and performance collapses to 0.8%. The signal is genuine — patterns across dozens of NYC data sources that collapse to noise when labels are randomized.

Engagement

Simple terms. Serious results.

Pricing

Founding client rates

No public pricing. Every engagement is direct. We discuss what it's worth to you first.

Commitment

Month-to-month

No long-term commitment. Cancel anytime. We earn your business every week with the list.

Trial

One borough, one week

One borough. One week. This week's Priority List, no commitment.